Looks like the doomers are at it again with their FUD. I will let you chicken littles screech about how the sky is falling while I enjoy our healthy robust economy.
Looks like the doomers are at it again with their FUD.
Looks like the doomers are at it again with their FUD. I will let you chicken littles screech about how the sky is falling while I enjoy our healthy robust economy.
>Please buy my bags
RETARD. Did the GFC happen in 2006? No it happened in 2008. This is just an indicator of what’s to come. We have 18 months max to make it before it all goes to shit.
That was 17 months ago
The yield curve inverted October of last year
depending on the metrics we're somewhere between june 2007 and june 2008
Well yeah that's what's going on. Now its all a race as to who will get out early near the top while who gets left holding the bag when it all begins to burn. Preparing is important for the before the next 6-12 months when shit starts hitting the fan.
You are 17 months late
We literally just had the greatest economic recovery our country has seen in generations. Keep hiding in your hole conspiritards.
>Buy my bag
2 MORE WEEKS!!!
You are going to starve or die
When it happens in the us all the thirdies are going to have a really bad time
The yeild curve first inverted 18 months ago, but it seem to recover, and you turds said, it was anothing burger. it went in to constent inversion a year ago.
nobody on this board is israeli enough to know exactly when the music will stop.
October, the month of Baäl
I've been hearing October since last march/april
not just on LULZ but everywhere
if it really does arrive in October it will be a great relief
It's just the Halloween sales season and operational expenses getting winded down and the ones for the new year allocated. It's to be expected that due to a reduced demand, the Halloween sales will suck and give an outlook to the Christmas sales as that operational expenses are going to be lowered due to less demand and higher interest rates, so more risk, depriving the market of more liquidity
Banks are tightening credit and there's less liquidity. If you think consumer spending will increase my reply will be, "With what money?"
I read the losr, its a sandbox out there with stranded bag whales that have been building up gas inside their cadavers ready to blow up
my body is ready
>Because of 81 million idiot Americans we are hitting the new low
It's joever
sometimes I despair, then see charts like this that give me hope
since this graph fascinates me I'm going to try to think this through
> the fed has to offer higher interest rates on shorter term bonds than longer term bonds to get people to buy them
> in other words, people are hoping to lock in longer term bonds at current rates than short term ones
> the usual explantation for this phenomenon is that people expect a rate cut (which typically happen during recessions)
It could be that people have misinterpreted the Fed's intentions to keep rates high for a long time and are incorrect about a pending recession+rate cut.
I guess that's the question
Personally I think we're already in a mammoth recession/depression. We're just waiting for the first outward sign (e.g. Lehman bros) to arrive
We're entering Election year, even if the economy is in absolute shambles they will skew absolutely EVERYTHING to look good so don't be a blind bobo in 2024 because you'll get raped
Lol. That narrative is stupider than the pivoooot shit
the fred.stlouisfed.org graph shows 860 billion U.S Dollars early 2020 and close to 1,000 around July 2023.
Adjusted for inflation over the last three and a half years a case could be made that credit to income ratios have decreased. Furthermore, credit to wealth (how much leverage taken on assets / capital) ratios have almost certainly decreased in those three and a half years. *though of course this becomes a question of secured vs unsecured and what strategies do modern financial systems have for directing and winding up unsecured debt.
Don't get me wrong, banks are tightening credit, and nobody here knows when the music will stop, but it's an election year, rates are already very high (compared to the last two decades), and inflation is steadily (albeit slowly) on the way down.
There might yet be 8 tracks to play on this cd.
Finally, some conjecture and a question.
Say by Spring that inflation is around 3%.
As a stealth tax it'll have served its purpose but from where will its revenues be replaced?
Might banks be required to hold deposits (savings) again ...